PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ahdlvcm

0x7b1cc1f3d94d2cd6729eb24faa3a337c75148548

Realised P&L
$-33.75
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
283
Open portfolio
$2.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded283
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 25? · Yes0.1900.265$1.39+$0.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 25? · Yes0.1800.080$0.40$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 25? · Yes0.2400.050$0.21$0.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 25? · Yes0.0490.021$0.15$0.20
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$0.43
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 2AM ET · Up0.2690.000$0.00$4.80
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 8? · No0.0940.000$0.00$1.33
Ethereum Up or Down on July 17? · Up0.0900.000$0.00$0.09
Ethereum Up or Down on July 27? · Down0.2000.000$0.00$0.60
Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? · Down0.0730.000$0.00$0.73
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 1AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00$0.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0950.000$0.00$0.83
Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? · Down0.2600.000$0.00$0.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.0570.000$0.00$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7AM ET · Up0.0090.000$0.00$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ETSELL0.04$0.24
09-21 08:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.91$0.18
09-21 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.81$0.16
09-21 08:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-21 08:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.649999805$1.00
09-21 08:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-20 15:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 25?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-20 15:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 25?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-20 08:11Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?SELL0.96$0.64
09-20 07:26Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?SELL0.961$0.49
09-20 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?SELL0.962$0.49
09-20 07:12Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?SELL0.037$0.02
09-20 07:09Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?SELL0.962$0.49
09-19 16:07Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?BUY0.5$1.10
09-19 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?BUY0.4599997976$1.00