ahdlvcm
0x7b1cc1f3d94d2cd6729eb24faa3a337c75148548
- Realised P&L
- $-33.75
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $2.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.94at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
- +$3.79at 0.485Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$3.73at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31?
- +$3.63at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$3.63at 0.480Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 09-21 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $0.18 |
| 09-21 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $0.16 |
| 09-21 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | SELL | 0.96 | $0.64 |
| 09-20 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | SELL | 0.961 | $0.49 |
| 09-20 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | SELL | 0.962 | $0.49 |
| 09-20 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.02 |
| 09-20 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | SELL | 0.962 | $0.49 |
| 09-19 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |