Taipei-001
0x7b19d70ce8ef84dcc1ce4b4a6e5ca7b3d74198f5
- Realised P&L
- $-19.4k
- Volume
- $830.6k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.805 | $888.06 | −$11.94 |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.321 | $114.85 | +$14.85 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.221 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$461.84 |
| Bulls vs. Cavaliers · Bulls | 0.752 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Spurs vs. Lakers · Spurs | 0.785 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$652.75 |
| Warriors vs. Heat · Warriors | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$294.06 |
| Solana above $190 on December 27? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Spurs · Pelicans | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Wizards vs. Thunder · Wizards | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14? · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 11? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Thunder vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Magic vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Heat · Heat | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.6kat 0.340Trump wins every swing state?
- +$7.2kat 0.800Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
- +$6.2kat 0.620Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$3.1kat 0.671Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
- +$3.0kat 0.704US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 06:30 | Over $10M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.7599999996 | $300.00 |
| 09-27 01:58 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.8289374677 | $500.00 |
| 09-27 01:33 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.279495345 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 13:55 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.0644760882 | $96.02 |
| 09-14 02:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999999 | $461.66 |
| 09-13 21:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $490.62 |
| 09-11 05:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $383.96 |
| 09-11 05:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 11? | BUY | 0.1 | $60.00 |
| 09-11 05:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 11? | BUY | 0.0173374911 | $60.00 |
| 09-08 05:07 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.2k |
| 08-24 03:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.9k |
| 02-28 07:23 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $134.87 |
| 02-19 14:36 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4218503047 | $15.9k |
| 02-16 08:32 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6726328841 | $20.0k |
| 02-16 03:11 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | SELL | 0.0084794814 | $10.06 |