cryplor
0x7b174f852722db65501bc534de12e231f59451b1
- Realised P&L
- $-36.7k
- Volume
- $3.79M
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $15.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.095Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.026Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$5.3kat 0.022Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$4.7kat 0.221Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$3.8kat 0.006Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:50 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $27.25 |
| 11-01 10:53 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1299999997 | $33.07 |
| 10-29 16:46 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0260019208 | $87.00 |
| 10-26 09:53 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.039 | $106.80 |
| 10-25 17:13 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0389999999 | $15.58 |
| 10-23 12:22 | Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.1699999989 | $19.46 |
| 10-23 12:20 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1897503284 | $38.00 |
| 10-23 12:15 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0539999999 | $31.00 |
| 10-23 12:13 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $111.00 |
| 10-23 10:26 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999993 | $54.00 |
| 10-23 09:59 | Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1499999996 | $17.47 |
| 10-21 21:04 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.146 | $650.00 |
| 10-21 20:02 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.145 | $436.00 |
| 10-21 07:30 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1445124354 | $36.11 |
| 10-20 18:03 | Will Marie Bouzkova win the 2026 Ningbo, China? | BUY | 0.04 | $16.00 |