cryplor
0x7b174f852722db65501bc534de12e231f59451b1
- Realised P&L
- $-24.2k
- Volume
- $3.65M
- Markets traded
- 467
- Open portfolio
- $14.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded467
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.095Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.026Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$5.3kat 0.022Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$4.7kat 0.221Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$3.8kat 0.006Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:14 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.015 | $8.65 |
| 09-16 06:13 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.014 | $17.60 |
| 09-16 06:11 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.041 | $335.88 |
| 09-16 06:10 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0559999997 | $7.66 |
| 09-15 18:28 | Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.5972166152 | $39.00 |
| 09-15 15:31 | Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.7503454285 | $43.56 |
| 09-15 14:45 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.025 | $30.41 |
| 09-15 12:38 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.02 | $13.86 |
| 09-15 12:34 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.032 | $224.18 |
| 09-15 12:33 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.025 | $20.38 |
| 09-15 05:54 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.025 | $25.23 |
| 09-15 05:53 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.025 | $27.05 |
| 09-14 22:52 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0474975148 | $15.31 |
| 09-14 22:47 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $53.51 |
| 09-14 11:45 | Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.7789760631 | $220.12 |