PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cryplor

0x7b174f852722db65501bc534de12e231f59451b1

Realised P&L
$-24.2k
Volume
$3.65M
Markets traded
467
Open portfolio
$14.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded467
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.6180.926$4.4k+$1.5k
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.8350.863$1.8k+$60.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1560.212$1.4k+$379.92
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.036$558.99+$28.27
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2210.564$523.26+$318.45
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.042$448.48+$19.91
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0360.041$386.79+$43.46
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0380.040$308.37+$7.70
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0300.037$295.27+$61.92
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.028$274.04$124.37
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0120.005$268.79$327.08
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0060.031$245.44+$194.45
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.7790.838$236.66+$16.54
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2740.315$235.72+$30.77
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0430.076$219.20+$97.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:14Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.015$8.65
09-16 06:13Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.014$17.60
09-16 06:11Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.041$335.88
09-16 06:10Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0559999997$7.66
09-15 18:28Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.5972166152$39.00
09-15 15:31Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.7503454285$43.56
09-15 14:45Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.025$30.41
09-15 12:38Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.02$13.86
09-15 12:34Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.032$224.18
09-15 12:33Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.025$20.38
09-15 05:54Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.025$25.23
09-15 05:53Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.025$27.05
09-14 22:52Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0474975148$15.31
09-14 22:47Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.042$53.51
09-14 11:45Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.7789760631$220.12