RgsFer
0x7b1634a1072763526bf14b1609a0809a471771df
- Realised P&L
- $-92.07
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 575
- Open portfolio
- $7.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded575
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.00at 0.291Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$47.36at 0.731Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo
- +$37.22at 0.342Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$28.05at 0.667Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-02?
- +$23.28at 0.716Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 21:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 20:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.07 |
| 05-21 01:47 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 05-11 19:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 19:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 19:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 05-11 18:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 22:36 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.97 |
| 05-10 21:00 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 05-09 03:46 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 03:44 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 03:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |