0x7b14027d79cc01bf1f3e75ddb6f9776f492f98c4
0x7b14027d79cc01bf1f3e75ddb6f9776f492f98c4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.79
- Volume
- $267.21
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $1.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.885 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.195 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$4.48at 0.314Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$3.50at 0.369S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:17 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:08 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:54 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:54 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:08 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 12:07 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.3149999677 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 04:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 16:53 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 08:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 00:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.96 |
| 09-17 07:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |