PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Jerryjerry

0x7b13f9de60479dcfc0647634319c793d10152836

Realised P&L
$-12.73
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$103.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8800.915$73.20+$2.80
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1800.305$18.30+$7.50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? · Yes0.2000.240$12.00+$2.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$9.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.2550.000$0.00−$24.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$8.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.0990.000$0.00−$23.89
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$174.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down0.0810.000$0.00−$6.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.2450.000$0.00−$23.27
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$37.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:52Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.88$70.40
10-31 15:51Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
10-13 10:44Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.14$9.80
10-12 15:46Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.18$10.80
10-12 13:47Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.37$37.00
10-09 12:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.27$8.10
10-09 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.97$19.40
10-09 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.57$20.73
10-09 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.47$9.40
10-09 12:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.5499999904$20.00
10-02 15:39Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.602$43.81
10-01 20:36Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.628$45.70
10-01 08:28Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.706$102.75
10-01 08:20Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.707664365$205.99
09-08 16:33Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0856815604$43.05