0x7b105e388de44a4d5fe9b4a7a4e4f5cc5002994f
0x7b105e388de44a4d5fe9b4a7a4e4f5cc5002994f
- Realised P&L
- $19.59
- Volume
- $442.26
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $5.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.976 | $5.29 | +$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.006 | $0.13 | −$4.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.002 | $0.02 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.27at 0.030Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$5.02at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$4.82at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$4.09at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$3.47at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $1.02 |
| 10-22 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.2319999967 | $4.99 |
| 10-21 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.9199999926 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999698 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999983 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999603 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999848 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999773 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999826 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999698 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999383 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 01:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999965 | $4.99 |