PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LemonBrothers

0x7b05f8e36980dffe4d784edf664970e623956180

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$689.9k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$9.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6730.430$2.4k−$1.3k
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7140.430$1.6k−$1.1k
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6810.410$1.2k−$814.87
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6260.760$1.2k+$209.37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.017$1.1k−$5.2k
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3900.305$374.62−$104.62
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4460.052$302.04−$2.3k
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1770.108$246.89−$158.15
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.040$220.97−$1.5k
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3330.048$204.56−$1.2k
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1210.095$184.04−$49.85
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No0.8070.830$175.81+$4.83
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4860.060$127.44−$904.64
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5410.051$104.93−$1.0k
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.064$101.22−$776.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 10:11Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.22$357.18
09-23 12:29Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.8786071331$161.36
09-21 10:24Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9803990925$386.74
09-16 17:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.13$101.56
09-16 17:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.13$121.88
09-14 12:08Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.08$16.00
08-28 15:56Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.36$13.62
08-26 10:17Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.73$365.00
08-26 10:17Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.7184684482$607.08
07-05 12:47Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$300.00
06-18 15:40Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$180.00
06-14 12:57US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$3.0k
06-08 11:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.29$1.4k
06-02 12:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$740.00
05-28 14:43US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$790.00