PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LemonBrothers

0x7b05f8e36980dffe4d784edf664970e623956180

Realised P&L
$-7.2k
Volume
$687.0k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$16.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$3.6k$2.9k
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.580$2.9k$550.43
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7140.425$1.6k$1.1k
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7310.585$1.5k$364.82
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6260.735$1.1k+$170.30
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4460.149$857.21$1.7k
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.6920.800$701.98+$94.57
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7010.680$612.00$19.00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.085$469.55$1.3k
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3900.375$460.59$18.64
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1370.125$367.16$34.05
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4860.145$307.98$724.11
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.162$258.23$619.13
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3340.055$233.52$1.2k
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.270$216.00$8.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.13$101.56
09-16 17:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.13$121.88
09-14 12:08Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.08$16.00
08-28 15:56Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.36$13.62
08-26 10:17Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.73$365.00
08-26 10:17Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.7184684482$607.08
07-05 12:47Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$300.00
06-18 15:40Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$180.00
06-14 12:57US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$3.0k
06-08 11:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.29$1.4k
06-02 12:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$740.00
05-28 14:43US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$790.00
05-21 10:44Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBUY0.94$940.00
05-08 18:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?SELL0.7244713002$6.6k
05-08 18:21Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL0.988$236.82