0x7b04e93c341fa8b80dd1d2459fc5c5ebe7e694f0
0x7b04e93c341fa8b80dd1d2459fc5c5ebe7e694f0
- Realised P&L
- $4.79
- Volume
- $352.40
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $9.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Down | 0.410 | 0.630 | $3.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.395 | $2.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.260 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.095 | $0.73 | −$1.27 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.220 | 0.064 | $0.58 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 09:42 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 00:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 16:54 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:53 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 12:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 18:58 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 09:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 01:07 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 15:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998776 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 05:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.66 |
| 09-15 16:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |