vsm4060
0x7b019aa23358d9a5a0418eb9d19c9287f9ebfb24
- Realised P&L
- $50.29
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $52.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.160 | 0.133 | $13.25 | −$2.75 |
| Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.710 | 0.715 | $10.08 | +$0.07 |
| Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.760 | 0.755 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.585 | $9.91 | −$0.08 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.290 | 0.285 | $9.82 | −$0.17 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.06at 0.170Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$13.97at 0.010Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$11.82at 0.023Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.20at 0.016Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
- +$-1.32at 0.009Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after November 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:18 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.71 | $10.01 |
| 10-07 11:15 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 00:28 | Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $9.99 |
| 10-07 00:05 | Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $9.99 |
| 10-04 00:10 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $9.00 |
| 10-04 00:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.363 | $9.43 |
| 10-01 23:52 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $94.00 |
| 10-01 21:13 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7199999933 | $8.56 |
| 10-01 21:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3849999996 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 18:33 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.014 | $51.32 |
| 12-14 17:42 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0079033109 | $16.41 |
| 12-14 17:41 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0300618864 | $16.41 |
| 12-05 19:47 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $7.28 |
| 12-05 19:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.196 | $19.60 |
| 11-19 13:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0190785081 | $9.10 |