arash.
0x7af95099ba94373b1129dfad72effc81c0e03712
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $72.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $90.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.69at 0.041Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$27.39at 0.560US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
- +$23.69at 0.367US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$20.35at 0.874Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$7.69at 0.899Will Trump announce military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:02 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-23 23:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.60 |
| 09-23 23:00 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.778 | $7.78 |
| 09-23 22:59 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-23 22:58 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.92 |
| 09-23 22:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-22 23:56 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 23:49 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 23:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.879 | $8.78 |
| 09-22 23:41 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 09-22 23:40 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.897 | $8.97 |
| 09-22 23:18 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 09-22 15:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-22 15:17 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | BUY | 0.166 | $3.32 |
| 09-22 15:15 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | BUY | 0.157 | $9.42 |