PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7af7b4ecb83ffc58e84d8c7cc35be046c8425f97

0x7af7b4ecb83ffc58e84d8c7cc35be046c8425f97

Realised P&L
$-87.52
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$2.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? · Yes0.2100.221$1.05+$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · No0.4300.445$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:58Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-25 14:43Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-25 06:42Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?BUY0.75$1.00
09-24 09:47Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.549999945$1.00
08-28 21:24Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-22 10:27Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?BUY0.8$2.00
08-11 15:05Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-11 06:59US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
08-05 23:27Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.48$3.84
08-05 23:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.83$3.19
08-05 23:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.999$2.89
08-05 23:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.86$2.45
08-05 23:27Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?SELL0.45$1.95
08-05 23:26Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?SELL0.33$1.94
08-05 23:26Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.44$1.68