flybirdfly
0x7af564e731a5e1c15fb85be1ce43830fdeb7d57a
- Realised P&L
- $-494.84
- Volume
- $152.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $29.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.60at 0.070Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
- +$43.20at 0.130Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?
- +$24.77at 0.201US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$24.61at 0.123Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14?
- +$19.99at 0.107Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.22 | $15.62 |
| 09-15 18:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.85 |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.72 |
| 06-20 22:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 06-17 20:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.0821369315 | $8.22 |
| 06-17 20:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.1176561719 | $11.77 |
| 06-17 20:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.120149925 | $8.01 |
| 06-17 20:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.37 |
| 06-17 19:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? | BUY | 0.229375 | $3.67 |
| 06-17 19:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17? | SELL | 0.97 | $15.52 |
| 06-17 19:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 19:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.154 | $7.70 |
| 06-17 19:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 06-17 19:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-17 18:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.1406823377 | $41.24 |