PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flybirdfly

0x7af564e731a5e1c15fb85be1ce43830fdeb7d57a

Realised P&L
$-494.84
Volume
$152.3k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$29.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $1.50 on September 15? · Yes0.0390.044$13.35+$1.65
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes0.0800.055$7.37$3.35
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.2200.085$6.04$9.58
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? · Yes0.0700.037$3.09$2.76
Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.01
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 14? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$17.23
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$3.43
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$9.66
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$3.52
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$14.98
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 17? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? · No0.0040.000$0.00$10.25
Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:16Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.22$15.62
09-15 18:12Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20?BUY0.07$5.85
09-15 18:11Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.08$10.72
06-20 22:17Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?BUY0.34$10.20
06-17 20:27Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?SELL0.0821369315$8.22
06-17 20:08Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?SELL0.1176561719$11.77
06-17 20:07Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?SELL0.120149925$8.01
06-17 20:05Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?SELL0.14$4.37
06-17 19:48Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?BUY0.229375$3.67
06-17 19:22SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?SELL0.97$15.52
06-17 19:10Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?SELL0.04$1.00
06-17 19:09Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17?SELL0.154$7.70
06-17 19:08Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17?SELL0.16$3.20
06-17 19:08Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17?SELL0.17$3.40
06-17 18:31Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17?SELL0.1406823377$41.24