B0L0
0x7aeb10efe42a40c9dc8fb2555c71885e66cab536
- Realised P&L
- $-129.24
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $175.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.434 | $165.96 | +$117.96 |
| Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.002 | $2.79 | −$412.00 |
| Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.002 | $2.76 | −$32.24 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.009 | $2.56 | −$5.44 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No | 0.097 | 0.196 | $1.33 | +$0.67 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.31at 0.790Romania No-Confidence vote passes?
- +$123.44at 0.073Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
- +$0.23at 0.040Romania No-Confidence vote passes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 21:13 | Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.22309428 | $414.79 |
| 05-13 07:08 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? | BUY | 0.0265636555 | $8.00 |
| 05-13 07:07 | Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? | BUY | 0.1256665949 | $48.00 |
| 05-11 18:47 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | SELL | 0.1011193726 | $448.48 |
| 05-11 18:45 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | SELL | 0.106 | $55.12 |
| 05-08 04:59 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | BUY | 0.070800333 | $335.41 |
| 05-07 16:24 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | BUY | 0.063 | $12.57 |
| 05-07 16:15 | Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0190380279 | $35.00 |
| 05-06 04:05 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $296.73 |
| 05-05 13:48 | Romania No-Confidence vote passes? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 05-05 08:35 | Romania No-Confidence vote passes? | BUY | 0.81 | $21.22 |
| 05-05 07:01 | Romania No-Confidence vote passes? | BUY | 0.7820961545 | $465.00 |
| 05-05 06:57 | Romania No-Confidence vote passes? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.28 |
| 05-05 06:08 | Romania No-Confidence vote passes? | BUY | 0.68 | $102.00 |
| 05-04 15:33 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.83 |