LosingMoneyGuy
0x7ae4b06fca9162214525cf4c592b21dc6153fc82
- Realised P&L
- $-16.2k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 5,398
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,398
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$800.01at 0.600Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
- +$618.57at 0.450Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
- +$500.00at 0.500Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
- +$495.61at 0.460Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
- +$475.82at 0.521AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.38 | $30.40 |
| 08-04 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 08-04 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.51 | $6.38 |
| 08-04 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.32 |
| 08-04 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.45 | $11.61 |
| 08-03 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.41 | $7.91 |
| 08-03 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.59 | $4.78 |
| 08-03 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.55 | $16.50 |
| 08-03 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.6578947368 | $12.50 |
| 08-03 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.63 | $11.97 |
| 08-03 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.16 |
| 08-03 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.45 |
| 08-03 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |