LosingMoneyGuy
0x7ae4b06fca9162214525cf4c592b21dc6153fc82
- Realised P&L
- $-21.0k
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 6,424
- Open portfolio
- $24.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,424
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$800.01at 0.600Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
- +$618.57at 0.450Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
- +$500.00at 0.500Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
- +$495.61at 0.460Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
- +$475.82at 0.521AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:09 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.01 |
| 10-02 18:32 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.18 |
| 10-02 07:24 | Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0804938272 | $6.52 |
| 10-02 07:23 | Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-02 00:13 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 1, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 10-02 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.93 |
| 10-01 21:26 | Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon? | BUY | 0.34 | $8.84 |
| 08-26 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 26? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-24 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on August 24? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.41 |
| 08-24 19:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 24? | BUY | 0.1011746905 | $1.47 |
| 08-22 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 22? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.90 |
| 08-20 14:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-20 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.0544145873 | $5.67 |
| 08-20 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.82 | $85.44 |
| 08-18 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |