mfer69
0x7ae32f9c7064ee3c69b5b0d11f3d8369fb69f80d
- Realised P&L
- $-131.46
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $9.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Blackhawks · Jets | 0.560 | 0.545 | $9.73 | −$0.27 |
| Penguins vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bruins vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.617 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Canucks vs. Kraken · Kraken | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Devils vs. Stars · Stars | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Wild | 0.557 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers · Hurricanes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmark · Denmark | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Wild vs. Kings · Wild | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Wild vs. Devils · Wild | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Thorbjorn Olesen win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.69at 0.580Rams vs. Seahawks
- +$38.43at 0.510Oilers vs. Jets
- +$38.25at 0.100Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$33.33at 0.133Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$32.31at 0.520Golden Knights vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:47 | Jets vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 18:37 | Oilers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5499999882 | $7.00 |
| 10-13 18:35 | Flames vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.6099999748 | $8.00 |
| 10-12 09:30 | Panthers vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $6.00 |
| 08-29 21:30 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0300945832 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:36 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0379999928 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:34 | Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.010451043 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:01 | Will Russell Henley win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0194812521 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 10:22 | Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.049 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 10:22 | Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0407960103 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 10:21 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.48 |
| 08-23 09:24 | Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 BMW Championship? | BUY | 0.0686686584 | $4.00 |
| 08-23 09:24 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 BMW Championship? | BUY | 0.109181119 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 15:56 | Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 19:41 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4099999934 | $15.00 |