PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7B59A07bF4359c05E5288Fec9D099Ac8dFaa7a85-1772421382799

0x7ae12a41e35588b797512a82c93597e4df5d7fb0

Realised P&L
$-36.68
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$0.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0140.011$0.81$0.19
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$13.00
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers · Kansas City Royals0.0920.000$0.00$2.00
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Minnesota Twins0.0080.000$0.00$2.00
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$1.00
Will Finland win on 2026-05-31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$8.00
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Los Angeles Angels0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets · Miami Marlins0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on June 1? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Panama win on 2026-05-31? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 03:25Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0029999994$5.00
06-01 02:49Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?BUY0.0032632283$1.00
06-01 02:49Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on June 1?BUY0.0056764428$1.00
05-31 19:26Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?BUY0.032$1.00
05-31 19:26Will Finland win on 2026-05-31?BUY0.009$0.54
05-31 19:25Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersBUY0.0917431193$2.00
05-31 19:25Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsBUY0.05$2.00
05-31 19:25Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.179999928$2.00
05-31 19:24Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.0081818182$2.00
05-27 03:05Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0286816339$5.00
05-18 21:18Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?BUY0.0136586701$1.00
05-18 21:16Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?BUY0.0335631866$1.00
05-18 21:16Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?BUY0.032$1.00
05-18 21:05Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?BUY0.016$2.00
05-18 20:53Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.379999981$8.00