Whylik
0x7addce8a2853d5b9b067b7465a8dbfc4a87ff9f4
- Realised P&L
- $-18.5k
- Volume
- $1.67M
- Markets traded
- 1,203
- Open portfolio
- $310.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,203
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.063 | $150.26 | −$501.58 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.130 | $41.60 | −$226.80 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · No | 0.745 | 0.277 | $37.16 | −$62.84 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.029 | $18.44 | −$104.47 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.170 | 0.154 | $15.45 | −$1.55 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.070 | $15.38 | −$91.30 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.150 | $15.00 | −$32.00 |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.045 | $5.40 | −$24.36 |
| Glean IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.037 | $4.42 | −$25.34 |
| Brex IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.009 | $3.24 | −$26.52 |
| OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.050 | $2.41 | −$17.59 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.632 | 0.028 | $1.32 | −$28.44 |
| Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.006 | $0.32 | −$27.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.604US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.6kat 0.712Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$3.0kat 0.553Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.722Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.244Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 19:40 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.53 |
| 08-13 10:29 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.20 |
| 08-12 12:47 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 06:33 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 08-09 21:29 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.069 | $3.10 |
| 08-09 21:27 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $84.20 |
| 08-09 13:42 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.1734932771 | $13.16 |
| 08-08 19:28 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.0849321008 | $110.00 |
| 08-08 19:28 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.0469999956 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 18:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 18:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.0379241481 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 08:12 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 16:49 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4820833333 | $46.28 |
| 08-05 16:49 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 07-29 20:21 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |