0x7adb9ec7eb25d98349ff7a811d7238566072c571
0x7adb9ec7eb25d98349ff7a811d7238566072c571
- Realised P&L
- $-18.77
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $18.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.50at 0.227Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.908Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.49at 0.731Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$1.28at 0.432Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$1.02at 0.798Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:47 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:49 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.921 | $0.78 |
| 09-16 22:48 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.42 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.80 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.80 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.80 |
| 09-10 14:32 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 16:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.46 |
| 09-03 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:49 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.95 |