zx8999
0x7ad7fa1b6477e2761f927da20340c1079b7fd1d7
- Realised P&L
- $-605.57
- Volume
- $134.0k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $9.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.964 | 0.997 | $9.96 | +$0.33 |
| Clippers vs. Kings · Kings | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) · BetBoom Team | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.00at 0.500Clippers vs. Kings
- +$6.54at 0.748Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 19?
- +$5.03at 0.749Will Solana dip to $70 on April 6?
- +$2.96at 0.969Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$2.41at 0.759Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:33 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 09-11 14:33 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-11 14:32 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-11 14:32 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-11 14:31 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 09-11 14:31 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $9.64 |
| 08-22 07:24 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-22 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.889 | $17.78 |
| 08-22 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.859 | $24.05 |
| 08-17 15:27 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.94 |
| 08-17 15:27 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-17 15:26 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $19.52 |
| 08-17 15:26 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 08-17 15:26 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-25 08:43 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |