PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rondon

0x7acd2773732fb8bf7cf0497635103e7272bcae09

Realised P&L
$6.8k
Volume
$237.6k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$12.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? · Yes0.0770.081$12.52+$0.57
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$3.35
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$3.29
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$108.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 22:46Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?BUY0.076$3.61
10-30 21:42Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?BUY0.0778878505$8.33
10-25 23:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.92$2.8k
10-25 23:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.9176918641$2.1k
10-25 23:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.91$641.83
10-25 23:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.9810231314$13.6k
10-25 22:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6156940618$2.6k
10-25 22:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.586985803$661.53
10-25 22:14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.57960007$2.9k
10-25 22:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5834011154$608.80
10-25 20:24Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?SELL0.001$0.01
10-25 20:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.277$415.50
10-05 01:34Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?BUY0.0188212182$3.29
09-24 18:12Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?BUY0.84$96.40
09-24 00:58Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.7$694.05