Rondon
0x7acd2773732fb8bf7cf0497635103e7272bcae09
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $237.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $12.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.081 | $12.52 | +$0.57 |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.35 |
| Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.29 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.598Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.3kat 0.733Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$795.22at 0.803Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
- +$570.37at 0.917Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$408.98at 0.816GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:46 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.076 | $3.61 |
| 10-30 21:42 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.0778878505 | $8.33 |
| 10-25 23:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.8k |
| 10-25 23:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.9176918641 | $2.1k |
| 10-25 23:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.91 | $641.83 |
| 10-25 23:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9810231314 | $13.6k |
| 10-25 22:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6156940618 | $2.6k |
| 10-25 22:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.586985803 | $661.53 |
| 10-25 22:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.57960007 | $2.9k |
| 10-25 22:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5834011154 | $608.80 |
| 10-25 20:24 | Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-25 20:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.277 | $415.50 |
| 10-05 01:34 | Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0188212182 | $3.29 |
| 09-24 18:12 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | BUY | 0.84 | $96.40 |
| 09-24 00:58 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.7 | $694.05 |