joan47
0x7ac60cd40955f2d682bf553771ebd5c908b3f149
- Realised P&L
- $-63.95
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $55.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.660 | 0.795 | $39.08 | +$6.64 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.595 | $16.36 | −$8.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.994Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$0.17at 0.990Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$0.11at 0.998Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$0.09at 0.994Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
- +$0.09at 0.991Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:58 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9849999975 | $4.00 |
| 01-31 13:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9809999402 | $10.36 |
| 01-30 16:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.68 |
| 01-30 16:03 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.23 |
| 01-30 14:26 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.06 |
| 01-30 13:29 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.21 |
| 12-30 09:37 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999691 | $13.69 |
| 12-29 21:35 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.09 |
| 12-29 21:27 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999919 | $29.73 |
| 12-29 19:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999974 | $53.11 |
| 10-31 16:24 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999657 | $21.25 |
| 10-31 15:41 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.74 |
| 10-30 18:16 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.74 |
| 09-29 17:59 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 09-29 14:22 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.31 |