LAUNU
0x7ac2225ba3a71776df82117557c316b9045228ed
- Realised P&L
- $-1.77
- Volume
- $202.23
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $29.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.452Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on September 20?
- +$1.05at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?
- +$0.44at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?
- +$0.24at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?
- +$0.18at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.05 |
| 09-21 08:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.44 | $0.34 |
| 09-21 08:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.44 | $0.34 |
| 09-21 06:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.44 | $0.34 |
| 09-21 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.60 |
| 09-21 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.20 |
| 09-21 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 00:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.44 | $0.34 |
| 09-21 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.21 |
| 09-20 19:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.44 | $0.34 |
| 09-20 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.20 |