martoooo
0x7ac1f21326bffbaa9c6abe7a84959937ef8f3b95
- Realised P&L
- $-35.43
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $43.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.125 | $30.58 | −$17.65 |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.065 | $8.69 | −$1.31 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.050 | $4.12 | −$5.88 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No | 0.467 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.88at 0.357Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$29.17at 0.637Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.48at 0.557Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.20at 0.016World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?
- +$-32.63at 0.407Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:30 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | BUY | 0.1213818852 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 07:40 | Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | BUY | 0.07477544 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 07:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4669912941 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 13:14 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.2778610543 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:33 | World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? | SELL | 0.020765591 | $6.78 |
| 07-13 16:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3889999964 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 16:31 | World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? | BUY | 0.0153227351 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 20:50 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3174999933 | $25.00 |
| 07-02 18:40 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6299999983 | $50.63 |
| 07-02 18:31 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 06-28 04:13 | Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2827504 | $70.69 |
| 06-18 09:03 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1971387697 | $48.23 |
| 06-11 14:14 | Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5499999985 | $18.00 |
| 06-11 14:14 | Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |