ocruz
0x7aaf71b3c94802fd0fa11ce8376567e4a671c97d
- Realised P&L
- $29.06
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $70.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? · No | 0.740 | 1.000 | $34.44 | +$8.94 |
| Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.750 | $19.09 | +$5.09 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.625 | $17.16 | +$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.20at 0.310Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$20.40at 0.480Will Barcelona win La Liga?
- +$5.55at 0.434Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
- +$5.06at 0.998Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
- +$4.67at 0.420Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:07 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $16.47 |
| 09-14 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.7399999948 | $25.50 |
| 09-09 02:41 | Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | BUY | 0.5499999882 | $14.00 |
| 01-31 14:44 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $11.08 |
| 01-30 15:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.96 |
| 01-30 14:31 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.06 |
| 01-30 12:21 | Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.48 |
| 12-30 14:13 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.67 |
| 12-30 09:23 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.89 |
| 12-29 22:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999336 | $12.18 |
| 12-29 21:11 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.13 |
| 12-29 16:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.69 |
| 10-31 00:14 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.33 |
| 10-30 20:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.49 |
| 09-29 16:01 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999465 | $17.51 |