PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ocruz

0x7aaf71b3c94802fd0fa11ce8376567e4a671c97d

Realised P&L
$29.06
Volume
$22.9k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$70.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? · No0.7401.000$34.44+$8.94
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · Yes0.5500.750$19.09+$5.09
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September? · Yes0.6000.625$17.16+$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:07Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?BUY0.6$16.47
09-14 20:57Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.7399999948$25.50
09-09 02:41Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?BUY0.5499999882$14.00
01-31 14:44Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9969999999$11.08
01-30 15:40Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$6.96
01-30 14:31Will Solana reach $150 in January?BUY0.999$14.06
01-30 12:21Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?BUY0.999$48.48
12-30 14:13Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.999$7.67
12-30 09:23Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.999$21.89
12-29 22:34Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999336$12.18
12-29 21:11Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?BUY0.999$21.13
12-29 16:01Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?BUY0.999$12.69
10-31 00:14Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$21.33
10-30 20:48Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$22.49
09-29 16:01Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?BUY0.9969999465$17.51