PolyBot

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Traders

0xAB31a7A2C4de55506D69eDd8724d27827B2A3724-1773211810388

0x7aaeee3906217a68cb56bb9d5c4de6967adc7efc

Realised P&L
$40.76
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
384
Open portfolio
$130.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded384
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.715$13.20+$1.20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.3500.790$10.59+$5.90
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4600.445$10.37$0.35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.455$8.47+$0.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.370$8.22+$0.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1500.175$7.00+$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7400.825$6.81+$0.70
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6400.850$6.71+$1.66
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.615$5.77$0.23
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.670$4.57+$0.27
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4400.445$4.35+$0.05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.6300.560$4.35$0.54
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3200.270$4.22$0.78
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.013$4.17$0.83
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? · No0.5800.385$3.98$2.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:57Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne ManasBUY0.4839505932$8.00
08-03 20:21Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5299999907$8.00
08-02 20:34LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2299998865$1.50
08-02 20:02Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsBUY0.5499999897$8.00
08-02 16:18Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999871$8.00
08-02 16:08Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.4599999781$8.00
08-02 10:57Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-01 23:04Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4699999749$6.00
08-01 21:08Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2099998936$1.50
08-01 21:07Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2$2.00
08-01 15:11Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-01 15:11Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.4499999887$8.00
08-01 12:51Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.5599999804$8.00
08-01 12:07LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonBUY0.479999988$8.00
07-31 21:37Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.4$8.00