0x7aa9c5282fa5d2b39132cc9c3692041a060b6390
- Realised P&L
- $3.78
- Volume
- $54.40
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $8.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.969 | 1.000 | $3.10 | +$0.10 |
| T20 Asian Games, Women: Malaysia vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.987 | 1.000 | $3.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.970 | 1.000 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.71at 0.749Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
- +$0.46at 0.940Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?
- +$0.41at 0.870Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
- +$0.39at 0.810Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
- +$-0.00at 0.960San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:52 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.9689999926 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 23:57 | T20 Asian Games, Women: Malaysia vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.9869999977 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 23:35 | Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 12:21 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 21:43 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.36 |
| 09-16 21:12 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 20:47 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 20:46 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals | SELL | 0.999 | $3.26 |
| 09-16 19:52 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.9199998773 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:05 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 21:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.57 |
| 09-15 21:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.59 |
| 09-15 14:57 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:02 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.8299999716 | $3.80 |