PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hikaru9

0x7a9dfd87e2546890b7d14718c0c02c882b31e314

Realised P&L
$-93.10
Volume
$31.4k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$8.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.005$8.01+$0.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$19.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025? · Yes0.7320.000$0.00−$3.66
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$5.50
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$0.69
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$6.90
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 07:20Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.005$8.01
08-09 13:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0059999993$8.00
08-09 13:10Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$10.00
07-13 05:48Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.002$5.00
07-01 02:54Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.002$2.00
02-23 16:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$12.00
01-31 18:45Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?BUY0.0096243024$1.00
01-12 11:31Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$2.00
11-25 14:51MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
11-06 14:47Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.013$6.50
11-06 14:47Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.013$13.00
11-06 04:09Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?BUY0.006$6.00
10-24 05:35Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.0112864696$1.00
10-10 09:32Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.998$59.88
10-10 09:28Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?BUY0.995$19.90