PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Liveisbrutal

0x7a9cc3ebd0286262acb3e07eb551f880846297a4

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
276
Open portfolio
$2.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded276
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1500.115$0.77$0.23
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.044$0.47$0.45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0900.043$0.47$0.53
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0070.003$0.36$0.64
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0180.001$0.03$0.97
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28? · No0.0080.000$0.00$7.90
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$15.20
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? · Down0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March? · No0.0030.000$0.00$31.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? · No0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16? · No0.2320.000$0.00$672.30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 05:42Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.019$0.76
08-20 05:42Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.18$0.95
08-20 05:42Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.144$1.44
08-19 22:01Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.006$1.56
08-19 21:522026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.00712176$0.89
08-19 21:52Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.13$1.95
08-19 21:51Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0430909091$2.37
08-18 14:01Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.005$8.54
08-18 14:00Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.013$7.80
08-18 13:28Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.004$4.77
08-18 13:28Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.004$3.60
08-18 13:27Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.013$1.30
08-18 13:27Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.013$1.30
08-18 10:36Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.016$8.00
08-18 10:34Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.007$9.80