PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Liveisbrutal

0x7a9cc3ebd0286262acb3e07eb551f880846297a4

Realised P&L
$-6.5k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$304.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.0880.134$278.70+$95.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.041$23.69+$1.20
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0280.011$2.10−$3.50
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0070.001$0.07−$0.93
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$7.90
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$15.20
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$31.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? · No0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$83.05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 16:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?BUY0.001$2.20
10-25 17:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?BUY0.147$44.10
10-24 23:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?SELL0.0113224$12.45
10-24 23:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?SELL0.0400262$40.03
10-24 08:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?BUY0.0059333333$1.78
10-24 08:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?BUY0.004$2.40
10-24 07:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?BUY0.0054760916$45.45
10-24 07:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?BUY0.0149768036$17.06
10-24 07:28Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?SELL0.0950865464$65.92
10-24 07:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?BUY0.0057378481$15.49
10-24 07:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?BUY0.0033722903$3.58
10-23 07:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?BUY0.009$2.85
10-23 07:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?BUY0.0075208574$10.05
10-23 07:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?BUY0.007$7.00
10-23 07:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?BUY0.051$5.10