invertirenia
0x7a9874e58b67deab016eb45e432640fa3015a1d8
- Realised P&L
- $13.31
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $88.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.525 | $27.84 | −$7.16 |
| Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No | 0.586 | 0.495 | $25.36 | −$4.64 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.041 | $18.64 | −$31.36 |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · Yes | 0.616 | 0.515 | $16.73 | −$3.27 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.76at 0.109Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.38at 0.712Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$-3.76at 0.084Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$-5.35at 0.185Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$-24.57at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 09:00 | Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | BUY | 0.6155846852 | $20.00 |
| 07-26 08:57 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.5856515373 | $30.00 |
| 07-26 08:56 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.659999994 | $35.00 |
| 07-26 08:54 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999938 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 12:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $166.98 |
| 07-11 10:56 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2474999901 | $15.00 |
| 06-28 16:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999972 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 16:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $32.92 |
| 05-17 08:35 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0919999817 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 08:35 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.020999999 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 08:34 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.072 | $18.00 |
| 05-17 08:34 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.0925729894 | $5.17 |
| 05-09 21:33 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |