0x7a95A3C59926a540E32bf38524ab42b723ea2551-1771473941367
0x7a95a3c59926a540e32bf38524ab42b723ea2551
- Realised P&L
- $225.22
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 574
- Open portfolio
- $318.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded574
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.41at 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12AM ET
- +$63.09at 0.619HYPE Up or Down on April 7?
- +$48.66at 0.753Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 9?
- +$44.30at 0.114Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines this week?
- +$29.34at 0.162Will anyone say "Power" during President Curtis E8 S1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:34 | Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-17 14:43 | Will Florida have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-17 12:46 | Will New Orleans, LA face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 09-17 12:44 | Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-17 03:16 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 16? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 01:10 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 16? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.18 |
| 09-15 15:24 | Will Minneapolis, MN face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.23 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Will Houston, TX face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.971 | $19.42 |
| 09-15 13:44 | Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-15 13:39 | Will New Orleans, LA face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-15 13:16 | Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-15 13:12 | Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 09-15 01:31 | Will anyone say "Sleep" during Big Brother E34? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 09-14 03:03 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 13? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.81 |
| 09-14 01:42 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 13? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |