Steve123
0x7a90e8e05a42fdf1729486a55d58bfb7155091c2
- Realised P&L
- $326.22
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $50.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.74at 0.055COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
- +$187.40at 0.020Will the Liberal party lead by 6-7% on April 18?
- +$33.28at 0.252Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$19.98at 0.360Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
- +$17.67at 0.010Ethereum Up or Down on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 18:53 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.029 | $10.15 |
| 12-20 21:27 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2025? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.02 |
| 12-15 13:06 | Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 12-09 21:38 | Ukraine strike in Russia on 28 November 2025? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.15 |
| 12-09 21:38 | Ukraine strike in Russia on 28 November 2025? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.50 |
| 07-27 14:05 | Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | SELL | 0.085 | $1.28 |
| 07-24 16:29 | Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 16:24 | Will GPT-5 be released by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 06-19 11:21 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 06-19 11:21 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.54 |
| 05-22 16:50 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | SELL | 0.143 | $3.57 |
| 05-22 16:34 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | BUY | 0.252 | $2.52 |
| 05-22 16:33 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $9.99 |
| 05-22 16:33 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | SELL | 0.25066 | $25.07 |
| 05-22 16:33 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | SELL | 0.25105 | $2.51 |