PolyBot

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Traders

ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee

0x7a8fe7b6934c1b5cda555fbd5731a57e2683d9ee

Realised P&L
$-574.05
Volume
$118.3k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$124.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.9500.975$11.17+$0.28
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.8870.770$6.46$0.99
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · No0.9480.946$5.56$0.01
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2500.245$4.08$0.08
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.8220.801$3.32$0.09
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? · Yes0.8810.925$3.25+$0.15
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.8960.922$3.09+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9550.961$2.93+$0.02
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat? · Yes0.9300.958$2.92+$0.08
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? · Yes0.8400.845$2.83+$0.02
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.9960.999$2.81+$0.01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8410.825$2.54$0.05
Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election? · Yes0.9400.993$2.25+$0.12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6520.605$2.12$0.17
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9660.983$2.08+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:28Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.94$0.79
09-11 18:16Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.973$0.72
09-11 15:43Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?BUY0.947999998$5.57
09-10 11:59Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.176$0.35
09-09 18:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.159$0.56
09-09 18:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.159$0.56
09-09 16:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.149$0.48
09-08 09:49Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?SELL0.81$2.25
09-08 05:24Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?SELL0.86$4.30
09-07 19:52Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?SELL0.86$0.86
09-07 19:18Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?SELL0.86$0.86
09-07 16:07Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?SELL0.86$1.72
09-07 15:07GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$0.04
09-07 10:08Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?SELL0.94$1.88
09-07 10:08Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.946$1.89