0x7a8c3af1825667b07d2f9b78ef42b38973f8dcbb
0x7a8c3af1825667b07d2f9b78ef42b38973f8dcbb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.56
- Volume
- $188.78
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $5.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.895 | $4.26 | +$3.26 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.998 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.450Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August?
- +$1.65at 0.480Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.49at 0.500US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 23:17 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:50 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:37 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:49 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:29 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:15 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:45 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 01:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:32 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |