PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

DarthTyranus

0x7a890801d4d823bc85b3009b1147b4a3f135ff1d

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$274.3k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$581.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0430.015$217.56−$393.99
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0250.013$158.28−$155.74
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0340.013$81.86−$141.09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0590.017$58.66−$143.33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0400.017$39.74−$54.26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1060.021$15.48−$64.52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.100$3.93+$0.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.3700.060$3.27−$16.73
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.002$2.25−$0.75
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$122.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 00:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.0206765095$8.00
09-28 07:15Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.32$10.00
09-27 17:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?BUY0.0169491525$10.00
09-27 17:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.05$10.00
09-27 17:02Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.4399999947$10.00
09-21 22:49Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0759999985$3.00
09-21 22:49Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$3.00
09-17 11:31Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1059709831$80.00
09-17 11:29Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.0507692307$55.00
09-06 23:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.0189999997$65.70
09-06 23:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?BUY0.0248130092$30.00
09-06 22:11Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.0187474076$37.11
09-06 21:01Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.0179896524$41.00
09-06 21:00Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.0439965618$46.00
09-06 20:59Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.0595595424$90.00
Trader DarthTyranus · PolyBot Pro