PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DarthTyranus

0x7a890801d4d823bc85b3009b1147b4a3f135ff1d

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$256.8k
Markets traded
204
Open portfolio
$656.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded204
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0440.030$399.50$182.04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0380.029$135.37$47.59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0340.025$121.17$49.05
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$5.00
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.00
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$122.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$5.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$26.32
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.00
US civil war in 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.00
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$14.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:27Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?BUY0.0313740263$47.50
07-16 10:20Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.0279650384$5.00
07-13 18:16Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?BUY0.040895959$100.00
07-05 17:41Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.0387580273$44.23
07-05 17:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.0352020117$51.00
07-03 20:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?BUY0.0428696301$1.97
07-03 20:34Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?BUY0.0465196805$216.35
07-03 20:33Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.0079539166$1.62
07-03 20:33Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?SELL0.009$1.55
07-03 20:33Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?SELL0.016$5.99
07-03 20:33Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?SELL0.0311571893$3.07
07-03 20:32Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.003$1.44
07-03 20:32Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.019$0.86
07-03 20:32US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?SELL0.0137823735$5.71
07-03 20:32Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?SELL0.18$13.78