DarthTyranus
0x7a890801d4d823bc85b3009b1147b4a3f135ff1d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $256.8k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $656.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$758.74at 0.022Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$719.25at 0.264Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$524.22at 0.100US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$240.32at 0.238Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$91.10at 0.397Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0313740263 | $47.50 |
| 07-16 10:20 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0279650384 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 18:16 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.040895959 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 17:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0387580273 | $44.23 |
| 07-05 17:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0352020117 | $51.00 |
| 07-03 20:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0428696301 | $1.97 |
| 07-03 20:34 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0465196805 | $216.35 |
| 07-03 20:33 | Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.0079539166 | $1.62 |
| 07-03 20:33 | Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.55 |
| 07-03 20:33 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $5.99 |
| 07-03 20:33 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.0311571893 | $3.07 |
| 07-03 20:32 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.44 |
| 07-03 20:32 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.86 |
| 07-03 20:32 | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.0137823735 | $5.71 |
| 07-03 20:32 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $13.78 |