DarthTyranus
0x7a890801d4d823bc85b3009b1147b4a3f135ff1d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $274.3k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $581.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$758.74at 0.022Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$719.26at 0.264Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$524.22at 0.100US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$240.32at 0.237Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$91.10at 0.397Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0206765095 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 07:15 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 17:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0169491525 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 17:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 17:02 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:49 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0759999985 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 22:49 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 11:31 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1059709831 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 11:29 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0507692307 | $55.00 |
| 09-06 23:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0189999997 | $65.70 |
| 09-06 23:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0248130092 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 22:11 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0187474076 | $37.11 |
| 09-06 21:01 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0179896524 | $41.00 |
| 09-06 21:00 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0439965618 | $46.00 |
| 09-06 20:59 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0595595424 | $90.00 |