AndersonAlexanderu
0x7a80f03deabd2229c10cc73976adde2376777d65
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $13.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-48.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Costco say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.985 | $11.94 | −$0.06 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.834 | $1.81 | −$0.19 |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) · Knicks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Spread: Thunder (-10.5) · Thunder | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.13at 0.677Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
- +$2.04at 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$0.26at 0.940Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$0.16at 0.950Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
- +$0.09at 0.921Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:37 | Will Costco say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.00 |
| 07-05 09:08 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 09:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 09:41 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9939999171 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 15:02 | Spread: Thunder (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5399999977 | $102.00 |
| 03-24 18:19 | Spread: Knicks (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.0k |
| 03-07 14:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9399997838 | $4.00 |
| 03-07 14:06 | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.984999757 | $3.00 |
| 03-07 14:06 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 03-07 14:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 02-23 08:53 | Will Solana reach $120 in February? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 02-23 08:53 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 23 above $275? | BUY | 0.9879999974 | $3.00 |
| 02-23 08:52 | Will Meta (META) close above $620 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9929999985 | $4.00 |
| 01-22 08:15 | Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 08:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.9209999889 | $1.00 |