PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AndersonAlexanderu

0x7a80f03deabd2229c10cc73976adde2376777d65

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$13.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-48.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Costco say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? · Yes0.9900.985$11.94$0.06
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9200.834$1.81$0.19
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) · Knicks0.5000.000$0.00$2.0k
Spread: Thunder (-10.5) · Thunder0.5400.000$0.00$102.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:37Will Costco say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?BUY0.99$12.00
07-05 09:08Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5BUY0.6699999972$50.00
06-15 09:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.7099998694$5.00
06-15 09:41Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.9939999171$10.00
05-11 15:02Spread: Thunder (-10.5)BUY0.5399999977$102.00
03-24 18:19Spread: Knicks (-8.5)BUY0.5$2.0k
03-07 14:07Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9399997838$4.00
03-07 14:06US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY0.984999757$3.00
03-07 14:06Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY0.95$3.00
03-07 14:06Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
02-23 08:53Will Solana reach $120 in February?BUY0.994$4.97
02-23 08:53Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 23 above $275?BUY0.9879999974$3.00
02-23 08:52Will Meta (META) close above $620 on February 23?BUY0.9929999985$4.00
01-22 08:15Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.99$1.00
01-22 08:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?BUY0.9209999889$1.00