LoliuyGert5
0x7a7e85a936eae7371c1bc0450d9e925a3eface83
- Realised P&L
- $-38.99
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? · No | 0.940 | 0.905 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.710 Will Tether acquire Circle before September?
- +$0.85at 0.540Will the Dolphins and Jets combine for 45 or more points?
- +$0.43at 0.700Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)
- +$0.32at 0.975Will a Republican win South Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$0.30at 0.997Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 05:09 | Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 05:07 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.10 |
| 10-31 05:07 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.988 | $99.59 |
| 10-28 06:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 06:27 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.992 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 06:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 06:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 10-28 06:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 06:35 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $251.24 |
| 05-29 06:35 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $86.91 |
| 05-27 11:10 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $87.00 |
| 05-27 11:09 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.994 | $250.00 |
| 05-27 11:09 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $248.25 |
| 05-27 11:08 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.994 | $250.00 |
| 05-10 10:37 | Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $200.20 |