0x7A7781FB81392e8f651F5566c1191e10fc20a15C-1761690742042
0x7a7781fb81392e8f651f5566c1191e10fc20a15c
- Realised P&L
- $-392.68
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 314
- Open portfolio
- $9.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded314
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.47at 0.304Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$35.19at 0.266Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$17.10at 0.606Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1?
- +$16.93at 0.388Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$16.90at 0.479Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 04:38 | Will MrBeast's latest video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.14 |
| 09-07 04:36 | Will MrBeast's latest video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $0.66 |
| 09-04 04:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.142 | $7.55 |
| 08-17 15:41 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.30 |
| 08-12 15:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.147 | $1.54 |
| 08-12 15:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.123 | $1.93 |
| 08-11 10:01 | Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.094 | $1.08 |
| 08-11 09:57 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.26 |
| 08-11 07:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.108 | $1.13 |
| 08-11 06:53 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.20 |
| 08-11 06:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.076 | $1.19 |
| 08-09 20:33 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.31 |
| 07-30 12:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.08 |
| 07-26 19:47 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.16 |
| 07-12 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |