PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lidyum

0x7a6b78b4e78e4dbb0b11906a023e75ba07f34f62

Realised P&L
$-24.87
Volume
$495.49
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$7.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.315$2.86+$1.86
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4900.969$1.98+$0.98
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6400.885$1.38+$0.38
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · No0.8000.895$1.12+$0.12
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June? · Yes0.6370.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? · No0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$1.00
Grok 4.4 released by July 8? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Grok 4.4 released by July 17? · No0.0330.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:02Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.75$1.00
08-02 13:01Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-02 12:57Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.91$1.00
08-02 12:56Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?BUY0.74$1.00
08-02 12:56US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.55$1.00
08-02 12:55Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?BUY0.75$1.00
08-02 12:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-02 12:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8019995493$1.00
07-18 07:50Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-16 09:03Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.00
07-13 13:37Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
07-10 20:20Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
07-10 20:20Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
07-10 07:25Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
07-08 12:23Grok 4.4 released by July 10?BUY0.05$1.00