lidyum
0x7a6b78b4e78e4dbb0b11906a023e75ba07f34f62
- Realised P&L
- $-25.04
- Volume
- $495.49
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $16.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.13at 0.320Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
- +$1.88at 0.930Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.33at 0.430Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
- +$1.13at 0.955Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
- +$1.08at 0.480Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:01 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:57 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:56 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:56 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:55 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8019995493 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 07:50 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 09:03 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 13:37 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:20 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:20 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 07:25 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 12:23 | Grok 4.4 released by July 10? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |