PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lidyum

0x7a6b78b4e78e4dbb0b11906a023e75ba07f34f62

Realised P&L
$-25.04
Volume
$495.49
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$16.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4900.735$1.50+$0.50
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · No0.7500.910$1.21+$0.21
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.125$1.14+$0.14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.5600.610$1.09+$0.09
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · Yes0.8200.875$1.07+$0.07
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? · No0.7400.785$1.06+$0.06
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes0.7500.795$1.06+$0.06
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8270.860$1.04+$0.04
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · No0.8000.815$1.02+$0.02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.8020.816$1.02+$0.02
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · No0.5500.555$1.01+$0.01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.1600.155$0.97$0.03
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.9100.870$0.96$0.04
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6500.615$0.95$0.05
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6400.530$0.83$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:02Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.75$1.00
08-02 13:01Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-02 12:57Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.91$1.00
08-02 12:56Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?BUY0.74$1.00
08-02 12:56US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.55$1.00
08-02 12:55Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?BUY0.75$1.00
08-02 12:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-02 12:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8019995493$1.00
07-18 07:50Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-16 09:03Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.00
07-13 13:37Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
07-10 20:20Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
07-10 20:20Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
07-10 07:25Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
07-08 12:23Grok 4.4 released by July 10?BUY0.05$1.00