0x7A684919107C85957f17Ba65D7FbB0D1a8D8B8A6-1771162787544
0x7a684919107c85957f17ba65d7fbb0d1a8d8b8a6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.86
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $13.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $13.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12?
- +$0.10at 0.995Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 22?
- +$0.09at 0.996Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 17?
- +$0.08at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.96 |
| 07-03 04:28 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 06-22 08:31 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-19 04:26 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-13 03:24 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.00 |
| 04-25 04:04 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-23 08:03 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-22 08:54 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |
| 04-21 08:05 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-20 07:10 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 03-23 02:44 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.984 | $613.03 |