PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cx5914

0x7a52fd915765730c07b3927980e6fbee59c11617

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$164.0k
Markets traded
18,958
Open portfolio
$6.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18,958
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration2.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.27$1.35
09-17 06:32Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.001$0.14
09-17 06:31Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.01$0.25
09-17 06:13Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 18?BUY0.46$2.30
09-17 05:48Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.39$1.95
09-17 05:40Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.001$0.16
09-16 16:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.04$1.00
09-16 15:57Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.15$0.44
07-01 01:20Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 1?BUY0.063$1.26
06-30 08:00Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on July 1?BUY0.104$1.04
06-30 07:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 1?BUY0.21954$1.10
06-30 07:43Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?BUY0.071$1.42
06-24 15:44Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 25?BUY0.04$0.80
06-24 05:14Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?BUY0.285$2.85
06-24 04:50Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?BUY0.035$0.42