PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

liumin3

0x7a4b7b4beab91138d4973463bc7b838ec7d44c4f

Realised P&L
$44.48
Volume
$21.8k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$116.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes0.4040.670$85.44+$33.98
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes0.4400.315$31.50$12.50
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Cincinnati Reds0.3700.000$0.00$10.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals · Los Angeles Angels0.4800.000$0.00$10.55
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$10.34
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees · New York Mets0.4000.000$0.00$10.00
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox · Kansas City Royals0.4300.000$0.00$10.32
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$10.08
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$10.35
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics · Athletics0.4000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$10.08
Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers · Colorado Rockies0.4100.000$0.00$10.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 21:16Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.69$10.35
07-22 20:00Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.005$0.28
07-22 19:58Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $590 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.9146771678$58.65
07-22 18:04Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.9671736508$93.01
05-27 08:45Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?SELL0.28$28.00
05-27 00:59Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?SELL0.3$1.69
05-27 00:59Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?SELL0.11$2.75
05-26 08:40Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?SELL0.17$11.36
05-26 00:54Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?SELL0.007$0.70
05-21 08:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 22?BUY0.998$103.08
05-21 06:26Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 22?BUY0.999$102.74
05-14 06:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on May 15?BUY0.999$105.39
05-12 12:05Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?BUY0.999$106.89
05-10 12:17Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C or below on May 11?BUY0.999$108.39
05-09 14:16Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 10?BUY0.999$106.29