hunterbidensdad
0x7a48e52999c2080fe93ef588bea1c9a4f69bc9e9
- Realised P&L
- $-439.59
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $54.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.540 | $54.00 | +$14.62 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.70at 0.732Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$45.61at 0.740Will Biden finish his term?
- +$34.83at 0.600Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?
- +$30.17at 0.760Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?
- +$18.94at 0.332Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:24 | Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.417 | $12.51 |
| 09-14 17:09 | Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.336 | $6.72 |
| 06-02 22:10 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 04-02 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $4.79 |
| 04-01 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $5.55 |
| 04-01 22:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $4.88 |
| 04-01 22:27 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.9029999923 | $10.00 |
| 04-01 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $9.26 |
| 04-01 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999424 | $3.18 |
| 04-01 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $2.93 |
| 04-01 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $1.97 |
| 04-01 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $0.93 |
| 04-01 21:12 | Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 04-01 21:12 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.9489999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 15:16 | Trump out as President in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |