PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

livehouse66

0x7a4564e5cb3ec6c161ec27ee009e942e8c94964a

Realised P&L
$-36.19
Volume
$122.9k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$170.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.915$91.50$0.50
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9650.972$54.40+$0.36
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5800.525$14.95$1.57
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.5740.340$7.88$5.43
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.375$1.04+$0.48
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.38$0.13
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 03:44Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
07-31 03:44Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.58$16.52
07-31 03:43Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.5741673857$13.31
07-31 03:43Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.2$0.55
07-31 03:42Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?SELL0.994$11.93
06-12 08:23Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?BUY0.997$11.96
06-12 08:22Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.99$99.00
06-12 08:22Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?SELL0.993$59.58
06-12 08:21Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$8.18
05-22 15:52Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.965$54.04
05-22 15:51Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$9.00
04-08 16:14Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.004$0.02
04-08 16:13Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$16.86
04-08 16:12Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.9141941748$94.16
03-27 09:10Clippers vs. PacersBUY0.79$47.40