Larix1
0x7a388e45fa9d76c42cbb7ab89fed0d3a2fefd6ab
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $898.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $473.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.333Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$4.8kat 0.244Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$2.7kat 0.550Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$1.5kat 0.256Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
- +$1.0kat 0.643Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? | SELL | 0.11593875 | $46.38 |
| 09-20 00:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | SELL | 0.052 | $5.20 |
| 09-20 00:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 09-18 14:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.637 | $63.70 |
| 09-18 14:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.637 | $127.40 |
| 09-18 13:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? | BUY | 0.24 | $96.00 |
| 09-18 02:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.556 | $6.26 |
| 09-17 15:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.45 | $35.19 |
| 09-17 12:21 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.011046892 | $52.67 |
| 09-17 12:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.1725661402 | $208.47 |
| 09-16 15:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.78 |
| 09-16 15:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.26 | $209.26 |