gokol
0x7a35f8849c597cd12c3e2e3086b52b8c4f682744
- Realised P&L
- $20.2k
- Volume
- $975.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $84.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.520 | 1.000 | $40.1k | +$19.2k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $30.5k | +$182.81 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.784 | 0.840 | $13.6k | +$894.07 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$322.40 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.15 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.915Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$4.5kat 0.954Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$2.9kat 0.934Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.906No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$650.64at 0.920Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $30.3k |
| 09-16 17:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.9k |
| 09-09 12:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $27.9k |
| 09-08 12:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $6.1k |
| 09-08 12:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $21.9k |
| 08-25 18:32 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8707556487 | $2.4k |
| 08-25 18:29 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8586148629 | $7.4k |
| 08-25 18:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.987 | $9.9k |
| 08-21 14:45 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8376375705 | $2.7k |
| 08-13 10:16 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.3k |
| 07-24 10:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7233275726 | $6.2k |
| 07-24 10:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.746732263 | $31.4k |
| 07-15 13:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.956 | $494.00 |
| 07-14 12:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $89.6k |
| 07-14 12:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.9k |