Gambleon
0x7a3350f3996884c1056f0a3325e2a752f60b2534
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $853.5k
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $326.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State · Michigan State | 0.330 | 0.325 | $325.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-5.5) · Michigan State | 0.480 | 0.485 | $1.40 | +$0.01 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.00 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$480.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$185.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$240.00 |
| Michigan State vs. Notre Dame · Michigan State | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.59 |
| United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$155.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.568 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$567.49 |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.221Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$4.0kat 0.518Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
- +$1.9kat 0.597Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
- +$1.6kat 0.507Bears vs. Commanders
- +$1.6kat 0.483Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:12 | Michigan State vs. Notre Dame | BUY | 0.052 | $31.20 |
| 09-17 20:43 | 1H Spread: Lions (-3.5) | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-15 01:34 | Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $245.00 |
| 09-12 20:27 | Alabama vs. Kentucky | BUY | 0.33 | $26.04 |
| 07-18 17:13 | Michael Olise: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.023 | $9.20 |
| 07-18 17:12 | Michael Olise: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.023 | $16.10 |
| 07-12 00:29 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 07-10 20:18 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1875 | $93.75 |
| 07-10 20:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.52 | $260.00 |
| 07-07 00:52 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.11 | $44.00 |
| 07-04 00:06 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.771 | $35.91 |
| 06-19 18:43 | United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 05-09 20:38 | Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 04-29 22:44 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.014 | $43.74 |
| 04-05 00:33 | Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | SELL | 0.49 | $490.00 |