PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cryptopetrucho

0x7a312b67aaabb9c54acbf417d160ff1d37051164

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$736.6k
Markets traded
4,110
Open portfolio
$953.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,110
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.7900.775$232.50−$4.50
Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.8210.993$125.91+$21.81
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8000.991$74.33+$14.32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.955$33.42+$5.78
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · No0.8900.979$32.29+$2.92
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · No0.8720.999$26.95+$3.41
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.8500.944$25.47+$2.52
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.8500.963$25.03+$2.94
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · No0.8400.885$23.01+$1.17
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8400.855$22.23+$0.39
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.8101.000$19.99+$3.79
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8800.995$19.89+$2.29
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? · No0.8300.991$18.83+$3.06
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.8920.996$17.93+$1.87
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8800.993$17.87+$2.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 14:13Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.81$4.05
06-27 14:13Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.26$0.04
06-27 14:13Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.95$4.75
06-27 14:13Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?BUY0.77$3.85
06-27 14:13Will Spain win the World Cup?BUY0.87$4.35
06-27 14:13Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?BUY0.84$4.20
06-27 14:13Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?BUY0.801$4.00
06-27 14:12Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?BUY0.63$3.15
06-27 14:12Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.71$3.55
06-27 14:12Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.51$2.55
06-27 14:12Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.37$1.85
06-27 14:12Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?BUY0.67$3.35
06-27 14:12Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.9$4.50
06-27 14:12Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.93$4.65
06-27 14:12Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.71$3.55