0x7a310e97e6e830c50b7e0317e442e6afcb89c22a
- Realised P&L
- $0.66
- Volume
- $11.05
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $1.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.210 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.37at 0.932Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$-0.03at 1.005Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?
- +$-1.05at 0.052Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:29 | Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 16:29 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |