Warden888
0x7a2e83ccd0016d33e33d7f9bcbe235d625d7efb8
- Realised P&L
- $352.77
- Volume
- $61.4k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $807.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.997 | $710.86 | +$1.43 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 21? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.994 | $96.38 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.03at 0.960Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 10?
- +$9.89at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
- +$9.79at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 8?
- +$9.35at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 9?
- +$9.11at 0.973Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.992 | $96.18 |
| 09-18 08:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $95.90 |
| 09-17 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $709.43 |
| 09-16 17:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.984 | $160.39 |
| 09-15 19:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.986 | $14.79 |
| 09-15 19:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.985 | $20.01 |
| 09-14 16:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.988 | $94.85 |
| 09-14 09:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.991 | $256.67 |
| 09-14 09:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9895 | $197.90 |
| 09-14 09:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.987 | $86.86 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $541.46 |
| 09-14 01:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.98796816 | $123.50 |
| 09-14 01:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $123.88 |
| 09-13 00:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.994 | $34.79 |
| 09-11 18:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.94 |